All that could not be further from truth. Back in 2022 everyone expected the war will be over in 3 days or so. 3 years on and we are still fighting.
This reminds me of a similar war a while back, 7 Years War. Back then each member of the quadruple alliance significantly outnumbered Prussia and expected the war will be over in half year time maximum. War lasted much longer than that, Prussia and Frederic the Great persevered and managed to survive despite losing even losing its capital to occupation once. In the end Prussia retained all its land and invaders lost most of their armies and significantly damaged their economies. In France it even resulted in revolution. Later Prussia went on to unite Germany and became great power in its own right.
Ukraine is much better position that Frederic the Great was back then. Russia cannot significantly threated Ukraine in any way. The only thing Russia can do is to make snail-pace advances on the fringes of Donbas, losing tens of thousands of troops per each small town in its war. If that continues Russia will simply run out of troops long before it reaches Kyiv. Even if Russia can send the entire North Korean military to fight this war for them, that will still not be enough to win. What else Russia can tap into, Chinese?
I personally doubt that even entire Chinese army could move the front line all the way to Kyiv. As I outlined in my other article, the further north one advances in Ukraine, the stiffer resistance gets. If Russia struggles to advance through indifferent to Russia friendly parts of Ukraine, then what is going to happen when they reach patriotic areas where civilians will oppose them like they did in Chernihiv.
Some might that Russia has nukes and can use them. Even if these nukes are not dysfunctional due to corruption but actually operational, there is no way Russia will use them. Russia does not want to suffer international consequences, and it will look weak if they cannot win without use of nukes. Aside from that, the plant that produced Soviet ICBMs is located in Ukraine and Ukraine can use it to arm itself with nuclear weapons.
Finally, after the end of WWII, Ukraine's Insurgent Army fought for decade without any support from anyone. Now that they have a country and decent defense industry that produces many weapons, they simply cannot be destroyed.
This war will not destroy Ukraine, it will destroy Russia and its motley crew of allies they still have across the corners of the world. Assad in Syria is already finished. North Korea and Iranian Revolutionary Guards are next. Ukrainian meatgrinder can process them all into corpses without many issues.
Finally on America. Fundamentally what Trump says or does matters surprisingly little. Ukraine can continue its fight without many problems even if he cuts the assistance completely. Europe sent majority of weapons to Ukraine, and they fully intend to continue this assistance. Turkey will continue to supply Bayraktars. Ukraine's own weapons manufacturing can supply the ZSU with most weapons with exception of smart missiles and drones.
Ukraine is much stronger that people willing give it credit for. In future we will see greater Ukraine stretching from Carpathians all the way to Ural Mountains.
On the other hand, Russia refuses to heed wakeup call that it is no longer a superpower, but a sick old man of Europe. Back in 18th century Russia taught that to Ottomans, who back then still saw themselves a superpower who could dictate the world its will via ultimatums. I guess now Ukraine has to explain to Russia what it means to not be a superpower anymore.
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