Monday, March 18, 2024

Well Organized Young Men in Moscow can Pull Off a Euromaidan Style Revolution.

After Putin yet again won an election with near stellar 87%, some would think that makes internal revolution near impossible in Russia. The reality is that revolution is possible because Putin is unpopular with the most educated, advanced and revolution prone demographic, young men. 

Three million who voted for Davankov may not seem much compared to a total population of Russia, however its three million of young internet savvy men in Moscow, St Petersburg and other key cities. Most of them are in Moscow, where the government is. Out of total Moscow population of 10 to 12 million, 3 million is more than quarter. That is definitely more than what participated in Euromaidan that overthrew Yankovich and turned Ukraine on path to Europe. If you count those who did not participated in election and stayed home, then you might even consider that majority of Moscow is against Putin. Look at composition of Moscow Duma, United Russia cannot have a majority without the help of independents. Sure, the majority of opposition are commies, but they are not with Putin.

Sure, there are those in Moscow who support Putin as well, but they are either elderly or women. Elderly cannot take to the streets to oppose European revolution. Women certainly cannot stand against men in a street fight. They may be like Putin, but they cannot fight to keep him in power. Thus, Putin have no one in Moscow who could prop his rule and keep him in power. 


Revolutions not necessary happen when majority is fed up. Sometimes well organized and capable minority can win. Take October revolution that took down Russian Empire. As elections to Constitutional Assembly shown, majority did not support soviet rule or communists. However, communists and soviet rule was supported by the most important demographic at the time: young men of then capital Petrograd. 

Ultimately young men organized themselves into Red Guards and took down all the opposition to their rule. They were soldiers for Red Army, they also worked on the factories that produced weapons and other important items needed to fight and win the war. If factories and people who work there are in favor, then even if the rest of the country is against then what they can do about it? They cannot make their own weapons without factories, can they?

Russian Civil War have shown that Petrograd Soviet that represented only the key demographic of young men who work on factories, is more important that what the rest of the country then what the rest of the country thinks.


Modern Russia has a similar situation. Putin has broad support, but those who support them do not matter if things come to a revolution. Elderly are too old and frail to fight. Women are too weak to fight. People outside of main cities who live in small villages without sewage, much less internet are also irrelevant.

There are also bureaucrats in various governmental jobs, but they are not numerous enough. Army consists of people conscripted there against their will; they will join the revolution readily.  Few paid thugs, Duginists and other idiots do not have the numbers to go against 3 million. 

The only thing Putin can truly count is police. However, are total police numbers greater than those who voted for Davankov or support Navalnyi, of course not. Besides some from police might want to side with revolution.


So young people with access to internet should just unite, form self-proclaimed Online Consul, agree on some leadership and structure and then go to overthrow the government. Ukraine has shown us that its possible. Lukashenka could only cling to power, because Putin gave him the entire Russian riot police to quell the 2020 revolution there. Putin has no such big friend, who could help him out against the 3 million What are we waiting for?

Once we win, we can rule as internet-o-cracy, with exclusion of all other demographics. Far too long they have exploited young men for their selfish ends, time to put an end to it and create a government by young men for young men.

To quote Lelouch: all conditions for victory has been cleared. At least a path to victory is clear.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Differences between different Central Asian Ethnicities

Current borders and nations in central Asia exist only since 1930s and were created by USSR. It would be simple to dismiss them as simply So...